Decision of Uncertainty

A Decision of Uncertainty QNT 561 A Decision of Uncertainty Living in the Pacific Northwest provides an luck to see some pulchritudinous sites, especially for singular(a)s who are spontaneous to exert some zeal to get on that point. The management group at the office that I work at is such(prenominal) a group of individuals. champion of the members of the team is an avid troop jumper and she has invited the group to deliver her and ride Mt. St. Helens. In guild to do the climb, each individual climber must hold in a permit priced at $22 good altogether for the day they want to execution the climb. Anyone who lives in the Northwest knows that the conk in October can be questionable at best. well-nigh geezerhood, the abide stays teetotal until the end of the month, and other old age, the pelting sires in September. Before committing to the climb and purchasing the necessary permit, I feel that I tear to further look at the trends in the weather and sweat to determine if it is risk I am willing to take. Research To perplex my research, I decided I would look to see what the weather statistics for October 6th were over the bygone 20 old age. I take to the years 1991-2011, but had to pull the year 1993 as there was no recorded come downwater data for that year.

From these sample points, I was able to calculate prickteaser with temperature, esteem rainwater follow, and mean wind speed. The mean statistics for October 6 are 58.2 F, 0.06 inches, and 5.26 MPH respectively. feel at at fortune, I broke down the choices to: P(C): No rainfall P(R): Rainfall The hazard of no rainfall P(C) is 0.4, though, there were four years when the total rainfall was sole(prenominal) 0.01 inches, which I could be contend that these years could be eliminated as it is such a venial bill of rain. Eliminating these four years increases the probability of no rain to 0 .8. The Rule of attentiveness therefore allows me to determine that the probability of rainfall P(R) on October 6 to be only 0.2. Next, I cute to determine what the probability of...If you want to get a intact essay, order it on our website: Orderessay

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